National two-party preferred estimate
Labor
Vote: 55.2%
L/NP
Vote: 44.8%
Matt Canavan's rise to the Nationals leadership gives the Coalition a fighter capable of taking on Pauline Hanson, but beating back One Nation is only part of the opposition's electoral dilemma.
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Indigenous leaders say culture wars backfired on Liberals
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Women's advocate quits Liberal Party after Ley defeat
Women were less likely to vote for the Coalition at the 2025 election than ever before, according to the Australian Election Study.
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